But the reason we prefer a relative metric to an absolute one is so that we can better understand how a state or district might vote in a given national environment. Assuming a uniform national swing, Republicans would carry that district by 2 points. While the most recent presidential election is the most important input, the previous one has predictive power too, especially for states like Arizona and Georgia that shifted suddenly toward one party they often experience some reversion to the mean.
And the state-legislative component accounts for the fact that some states like West Virginia vote differently for down-ballot offices than they do for president.
You can see the sample size for the estimates in this chart on rollover or in the last column of the table. And visit this table to see approximate margins of error for a group of a given size. Readers should always bear in mind the approximate margin of error for the group they are examining when making comparisons with other groups or assessing the significance of trends over time.
Red states desire to preserve the political philosophy and regulations articulated in the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution and preserve traditional morality, such as that in the Bible. During the s, the colors were reversed, and red states were democratic while blue states were republican. During the U.
Since that election, the media have used red for Republican and blue for Democrat. The Cook Partisan Voting Index PVI shown in the table below is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or states leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the national average. According to Gallup Daily tracking numbers in , a total of 13 states are solid Republican. Those states are:. Florida was once considered a battleground state but is now leaning Republican after Donald Trump won Florida in both the and elections.
Trump expanded his winning margin from to from 1. Yes, North Carolina is a red state although it is considered to be a perennial swing state and a swing state in the presidential election. North Carolina has voted for the Republican presidential candidate ten times in the last 12 presidential elections.
Ohio is considered a perennial swing state and was a swing state in the election; however, it is much more of a red state than a swing state. President Biden is the first president to win the election without carrying Ohio since Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the presidential election. It is not a red state.
Pennsylvania voted democratic in the election. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Florida See also: Presidential election in Florida, Election results Presidential election results in Florida, Georgia See also: Presidential election in Georgia, Election results Presidential election results in Georgia, Elworth Jr.
Michigan See also: Presidential election in Michigan, Election results Presidential election results in Michigan, Minnesota See also: Presidential election in Minnesota, Election results Presidential election results in Minnesota, Nevada See also: Presidential election in Nevada, Election results Presidential election results in Nevada, Pennsylvania See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, Election results Presidential election results in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, Election results Presidential election results in Wisconsin, Category : Presidential election, Voter information What's on my ballot?
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Harris D. Total votes: 3,, Total Votes. Election results via: Arizona Secretary of State. Brian T. Shawn W. Total votes: 11,, Election results via: Florida Division of Elections. Total votes: 4,, Election results via: Federal Election Commission. Election results via: Georgia Secretary of State. Total votes: 1,, Dan R. Election results via: Iowa Secretary of State.
Taxpayers Party of Michigan. Carroll no running mate Independent Write-in.
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